It doesnt have to be that way. "If you asked me whether I preferred to play Cam, Andy Dalton or Gardner, I'd say Gardner," an NFL assistant coach said. The veteran would likely have an easy time transitioning to Atlanta's offense, as ESPN's Jeremy Fowler called him a perfect fit for Arthur Smith's system. The numbers have not been pretty for Jones. Thats $38.89 million, for a two-year take of $71.31 million. For a team like the Texans, he could be the The ground game features a potential up-and-coming star in Rachaad White. However, they lack a No. Although 2020 No. But Las Vegas quarterback situation is even more wide open than Atlantas after the club released longtime starter Derek Carr in February. Murray already proved accurate, completing 64.39% of his passes -- tops among rookies, 15th in the NFL -- for 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. While we dont know everything about a young quarterback after just his rookie season, we do at least know some things. 6 overall out of Duke. As a rushing threat willing to take off when his receivers are covered, Jones could thrive with some of the same offensive concepts deployed by McDaniels when Cam Newton averaged 9.1 carries per game for the 2020 Patriots. Isn't the sexy pick to win starting jobs, but keeps winning them.". I found in a previous analysis that combining passing grade- and EPA-based Bayesian forecasts in roughly equal proportions can predict a quarterbacks EPA per dropback better than either alone. Still, that may be the only "con. Pick: No. The Carolina Panthers would like to put the atrocious Matt Rhule era fully behind them in 2023 and there would be no better way to accomplish that than with a new signal-caller. Ranking the NFL's top 10 QBs for 2020: Who follows Patrick Mahomes? The Lock-Minshew voting was incredibly close, with Lock pulling away due to what many considered a more dynamic skill set. 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. New York is in deep negotiations with QB Daniel Jones, looking to extend the 25-year-old and solidify him as their franchise quarterback. Houston is coming off a brutal three-year stretch in which the team has won a mere 11 games while churning through four head coaches and trying multiple options out under center. The Panthers accomplished that feat despite deploying a revolving door of subpar signal-callers. So what's gone wrong for Jones since he took over in Week 3 of '19 with an impressive winning comeback performance against the Buccaneers? Can the two sides agree on an extension? Outside the pocket, Murray's QBR dropped to 25.2, a mark that ranked 21st. Daniel Jones draft, revisited: Why Giants QB is on the brink of being a big 2019 NFL Draft bust Vinnie Iyer 7 min read The first-round of the 2019 NFL Draft has My analysis is less optimistic about his future, starting him from a lower base due to his poor draft pedigree as a sixth-round pick. He's got plenty of talent surrounding him at both the wideout and running back position, plus Seattle's young defense should only get better in 2023. WebDaniel Stephen Jones III (born May 27, 1997) is an American football quarterback for the New York Giants of the National Football League (NFL). Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Murray had a 63.3 QBR inside the pocket, which ranked 10th in the NFL. WebSep 17, 2018: Patriots traded 2019 5th round pick (170th overall, Austin Seibert) to Browns for Josh Gordon and 2019 7th round pick (243rd overall subsequently traded, Nick Scott) The season has come to a close for most NFL teams, and now is the time of reflection and reassessment. According to PFT's Peter King, the team "probably" isn't too interested in Carr either, but depending on how the rest of the free-agency dominos fall, he may make the most sense for the organization in the near-term. Stroud voices strong opinion on Justin Fields, Bears chatter, The 'Most recent first-round NFL quarterbacks' quiz, Seven Cubs pitchers combine for spring no-hitter vs. Padres, Cowboys owner Jerry Jones comments on Tony Pollard rumor, Ben Simmons suffers back injury while rehabilitating, Insider: It's Packers, Jets 'or bust' for Aaron Rodgers, QB Anthony Richardson doesn't understand his 'project' label, Vikings HC reveals 'crazy' thoughts about star WR, XFL player released for giving another team plays from own playbook. It was only the fourth time a rookie has graded over 90.0 on such throws with Robert Griffin III, Dak Prescott and Wilson being the other three. Raiders head coach Josh McDaniels is most well-known for his work with Tom Brady in New England, and he coached another pocket passer in Carr last season. Haskins fared worse than his peers through nine games, completing 58.6% of his passes for 1,365 yards, seven touchdowns, seven interceptions and a 26.8 QBR, which didn't crack the league's top 30. That's the baseball in him.". Widely projected as a first-round draft pick, Richardson entered the combine as NFL Draft analyst Daniel Jeremiah's No. 1 overall picks typically have better careers than quarterbacks taken lower in the draft, even those in the top half of the first round like Jones and Haskins. "He's got some magic to him." Kyler Murray striving to be elite in 2nd season (2:39). Jones, who recently changed agencies from Creative Artists Agency to Athletes First, may be targeting a salary as high as $45 million per year. Several personnel evaluators believe tight end Noah Fant and wide receiver Courtland Sutton are top-10 players at their position right now. Richardson is making headlines at the Scouting Combine this week, garnering interest from every corner of the league. 3: Houston Texans. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. 6 | 2019 QBR: 53.6 (18th) Instead of taking a risk on a rookie draft pickand the costs to move up to get one of the best would be substantialthe team could make a run for Daniel Jones. This years QB tag is $32.4M, explaining Stroud and Kentucky's Will Levis. "When I got to high school, just seeing how dynamic Lamar (Jackson) was, I tried to implement both of those guys in my life. He went a respectable 8-8 as a rookie, but displayed a propensity for turnovershe had 21 interceptions against 12 touchdownsand inaccurate throws, evidenced by his meager 55.8 percent completion rate. The team parted ways with veteran cornerback James Bradberry last offseason knowing it would have to deal with the consequences. 15 | 2019 QBR: 26.8 "He's got some magic to him.". "I'm still a bit surprised they signed [Newton]," one NFL personnel man said. After re-inventing himself with Seattle, Smith could return to the place it all started with a chance to make good on the sky-high potential that led Gang Green to draft him nine years ago. Washington gave a young player minimal chance to succeed. Unlock all tools and content including Player Grades, Fantasy, NFL Draft, Premium Stats, Greenline and DFS. The next step will be strengthening the connection with Golladay and Toney, who both were hamstrung and missed critical trainng camp time with their new QB. Murray is largely in the clear, but the rest of the 2019 class is in the thick of bust territory. All other NFL-related trademarks are trademarks of the National Football League. The only quarterback worse than Haskins in terms of EPA forecast is Josh Rosen, who Im declaring a bust already despite not having finished out his rookie deal. Stroud, Ohio State = Jared Goff: Both prospects were accurate, and possess the necessary arm talent to make all of the throws. Only five quarterbacks Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, Deshaun Watson, and Patrick Mahomes have reached that annual salary. That's exactly what happened in 2020, when Minshew heard all offseason that he would be replaced by Cam Newton or Andy Dalton. The second plot shows quarterbacks who didnt maintain starter status beyond their rookie deal, or players we would consider failed picks.. But on the off chance Jones actually reaches the open market, several NFL teams could potentially express interest in the former first-rounder. The offensive line should be improved after it was ravaged by injury last year. Jones being more durable with better protecting and playmaking personnel is one big part of the equation. While Carr isn't coming off his best season, he still managed to earn a Pro Bowl nod after completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 3,522 yards and 24 touchdowns. Haskins had the second-best grade of the group (67.6). Baltimore has built a contender around Jackson, and while it hasn't panned out due to injuries these last two seasons, there will be plenty more chances in the coming years. The team has managed to hover around .500 consistently in the Ron Rivera era despite a revolving door of ineffective veterans and backup quarterbacks under center. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. I think if you have the opportunity where you have a guy thats on a rookie deal, and hes your guy, and hes playing for you, and hes a guy you feel that you can win football games with, there is an element of capitalizing on that, especially with where quarterback salaries are going, and the guarantees and things like that, Raiders general manager Dave Ziegler told The Athletic in February. "He's younger, he can make plays when things aren't perfect and he's accurate.". After posting an underwhelming 53.8 percent completion rate in 2022, the young signal-caller has been working on his mechanics in recent months. If the Falcons want to start winning games regularly again in 2023, there's no better free-agent quarterback for the club than Garoppolo. Jones finished the year roughly where he started, as the analysis expects rookies to perform worse in their first season than in the rest of their careers. The team went toe-to-toe with the Cincinnati Bengals in the Wild Card Round despite missing Jackson and very well could have gone on a run had he been available. He was sacked 45 times in 14 times, at a higher rate per dropback with the same 6.6 yards per attempt. The New York Giants are reportedly doing their due diligence on the quarterback class ahead of the 2023 NFL Draft. Youre starting to feel the time crunch a little bit, Schoen said. CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: nfl | pageType: stories | But Jones still finished 18th in QBR at 53.6, and threw for 24 touchdown passes in 12 starts. Johnston is a lengthy wide receiver with great top-end speed. The Giants drafted Jones and finally saw him blossom into a quality starter last year. Beyond 2017 NFL Draft, new QBs such as Daniel Jones overtaking Bears Mitch Trubisky Eight quarterbacks from the 2017, 18 and 19 draft classes have a higher passer rating than Trubisky. Murray is in the same area as the successes who performed better in terms of EPA than PFF grade, and those successes include Dak Prescott and Deshaun Watson. Panthers impressed by Derek Carr visit 2023 NFL Enterprises LLC. In this analysis, Im going to go through the grades and dropback efficiency for 2019 rookie quarterbacks with at least 200 dropbacks: Murray, Jones, Haskins and sixth-round selection Gardner Minshew. Tannehill's injuries and steady decline led to his eventual benching and the team will be seeking a replacement for the veteran this offseason. The Husky is a more polished run blocker right now and has had some repetitions pulling and blocking in space. The plot below shows the progression of the passing grade Bayesian forecast for every rookie quarterback from 2007-2019 with at least 200 dropbacks. The Florida Gators product has reportedly crushed his interviews at the Combine (per The Pat McAfee Show). Copyright 2019-2023. Jones had his best campaign yet in 2022, reaching career highs in completion percentage (67.2 percent) and passing yardage (3,205). Still, question marks still exist, and every dollar the Giants invest in Jones is a dollar they cant use to build the rest of their roster around him. Whether or not Ridder will still be the Falcons QB1 when the regular season gets underway is another question. While the Texans could opt to thrust this first-year quarterback right into the fire, they may be better served to bring in a veteran like Garoppolo to help turn the team around first. Jimmy Garoppolo is one of the more intriguing free agent quarterbacks available right now. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Even after benching Wilson and replacing him with Mike White, the Jets couldn't find a way to consistently manufacture yardage and scores after prized rookie back Breece Hall tore his ACL. The shaky protection, the limited targets and toggling between backs also made Jones take off andrun more than ideal as the team's second-leading rusher. section: | slug: nfl-draft-2023-pro-comparisons-for-top-qbs-prospects-with-former-nfl-gm-making-patrick-mahomes-comparison | sport: football | route: article_single.us | 1-caliber wide receiver capable of winning consistently. By inking Jones this offseason, the Commanders would both finally have the young, talented quarterback they have long coveted and leave the New York Giants with a hole at the most important position. Widely projected as a first-round draft pick, Richardson entered the combine as NFL Draft analyst Daniel Jeremiah's No. All four of the 2019 rookies are below the 50% percentile in grade forecast, though Murrays is roughly in the 85% percentile for EPA forecast. Working with first-year Giants head coach Brian Daboll and offensive coordinator Mike Kafka, Jones set career highs in completion rate (67.2 percent) and passing yards (3,205) while leading the NFL with a 1.1 percent interception rate. If they opt for the former, Garoppolo is a strong fit and could keep Tampa's championship window open for a few more years. Factor in some quality pass-catchers in Garrett Wilson and Elijah Moore and this team is a shoo-in playoff contender with Carr running the show. Jones would be one of the more naturally talented quarterbacks McDaniels has had to work with. Its incredibly unlikely that Atlanta would sign a franchise-tagged Jones to an offer sheet; if the Giants failed to match the proposal, the Falcons would have to send two first-round picks to New York. Where they sign will shape not only their futures, but the power structure of the league. I wish we were a little bit closer on a deal than what we are right now. There's one thing about Young that has some scouts worried, and that's his size. He has flashed big-play capabilities but will need to become more reliable to reach his full potential. The Raiders have many of the pieces in place to win now, but still lack a quarterback the team can trust to lead it back to the playoffs. The lack of proven pass-catching depth behind Terry McLaurin is a problem for some evaluators. Perfect Giants 2023 NFL Draft plan: Get Daniel Jones (or another QB) a No. New head coach Ron Rivera offers stability, and a team source said Haskins spent significant time in the facility this offseason working out and communicating with coaches and players while rehabbing an ankle injury. Pick: No. It is highly recommended that you use the latest versions of a supported browser in order to receive an optimal viewing experience. Jones is our No. That last stat is significant. Pick: No. A healthy Wan'Dale Robinson will certainly uplift that unit, and Isaiah Hodgins has played well enough to fill a roster spot. How will New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones, the No. New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) looks for an open receiver in the first half against the Washington Football Team at MetLife Stadium on Sunday, Oct. 18, 2020, in East Rutherford. "He does a great job for a small quarterback with his vision down the field. They all add up to putting Jones on the brinkof being abig NFL draft bust, unless he can turn things around quickly. But questions remain about his decision making, accuracy and overall polish at the game's most challenging position. After the New York Giants declined his fifth-year option for 2023, Daniel Jones responded by posting the best season of his career and setting himself up for a significant payday. The Giants also got a stronger backup for Barkley in former Bronco and Raider Devontae Booker and reinforced the complementary blocking and receiving at tight end with former Viking Kyle Rudolph. The 2022 NFL season is in the books, and it's now time to turn our attention to draft season. But the Jaguars really do like Minshew, whose 3.5 touchdown-to-interception ratio topped all rookies. Jeremy Fowler polled a panel of more than 50 coaches, execs, scouts and players to come up with top-10 rankings for 2020: QB | RB | TE | WR | OT Few veteran quarterbacks would be a better fit for this team than Derek Carr. Making a move too early is better than too late, just ask the Cardinals brass, who gave an early hook to Josh Rosen after he produced the second-worst post-rookie forecast since 2007. An important context to keep in mind is that the projection lines in the plots above only represent the best guess, i.e., mean projection. The team spent big free-agent capital on former Lions wide receiver Kenny Golladay and also used a first-round pick on Florida wide receiver Kadarius Toney, after missing out on Alabama's DeVonta Smith. Baker Mayfield is the latest quarterback to thrive as a rookie and dive in his sophomore season. Jahmyr Gibbs, RB. Stroud, Ohio State = Jared Goff: Both prospects were accurate, and possess the necessary arm talent to make all of the throws. Vinnie Iyer is an NFL writer at The Sporting News. The only team with more cap space than the Falcons is the Bears, who are not in the market for a veteran quarterback. NFL+ gives you the freedom to watch LIVE out-of-market preseason games, LIVE local and primetime regular season and postseason games on your phone or tablet, the best NFL programming on-demand, and MORE! The browser you are using is no longer supported on this site. Subscribe to Stathead , the set of tools used by the pros, to unearth this and other interesting factoids. Below Ive plotted the year-end forecasts for passing grade and EPA per dropback for each of the 45 rookie quarterbacks with at least 200 dropbacks. Web"He's got something to him, man," one veteran NFL quarterback said. He did lose another fumble in Week 1, but he looked more comfortable and confident in what's around him and also used his legs well again for a second TD. Daniel Jones draft, revisited: Why Giants QB is on the brink of being a big 2019 NFL Draft bust, Breaking down Daniel Jones' career turnover tendencies, NFL's coaching hot seat index after Week 1. Now, evaluators don't know what to think. Jimmy Garoppolo is one of the more intriguing free agent quarterbacks available right now. His mobility would open things up for some interesting scheming from the jump and should only get more interesting as the signal-caller gets brought up to speed and comfortable in the system. There's been a glaring lack of continuity all across the line with the reshuffling at both tackles and center, an equal critical positionfor a young QB. They were hamstrung by health issues last year but still have the makings of a squad good enough to contend for a championship. Atlanta Falcons Have Plenty of Cap Space To Burn, Jones Could Help Jumpstart a Titans Reset, Las Vegas Raiders Searching for Post-Derek Carr Options, Daniel Jones Market Value, Career Stats, and More. Hamler in the draft to fuel an already solid playmaking unit. The Giants have been trying to fix their front five for a while. He ran for more than 70 yards one time, in Week 5 against Cincinnati (10 rushes, 93 yards). Although Jackson's asking price is reportedly highESPN's Jeremy Fowler and Jamison Hensley noted the signal-caller is seeking a similar contract to the fully guaranteed five-year, $230 million one Deshaun Watson signed with the Cleveland Browns last yearit's a figure the Ravens should be willing to meet rather than risk the franchise struggling through lean years while trying to find another franchise quarterback. Couple all of that with a stout defense, and Lock will have no excuses not to build off his 1,020-yard, seven-touchdown performance on 100-of-156 passing last year. Since drafting Carr in 2014, Las Vegas selected only one more quarterback over the next eight drafts: Michigan States Connor Cook in the fifth round of the 2015 draft. More was put on Jones as Slayton remained his best receiving option. But when Richardson envisions his NFL career, he has some other signal-callers in mind. Well form forecasts for their true passing ability in terms of grades and expected points added (EPA), properly weighing results based on the sample size of dropbacks and priors, or pre-NFL expectations, based on their respective draft positions. However, negotiations with Jones have been difficult, per reports, and the Giants are doing research on quarterback prospects at this weeks Scouting Combine, seemingly as a contingency plan. DT | LB | CB | Safety "Seems like he's doing better now.". The lack of 2020 weaponry, lowlighted by Barkley's major absence, put Jones on an island. With that in mind, here are three best fitsranked in orderfor each of this year's top free-agent quarterbacks: The Falcons may have expended a third-round pick for Desmond Ridder last year, but the jury is still out on the Cincinnati product's long-term viability after a rocky rookie season. Unfortunately that dominant defense couldn't carry New York to a coveted postseason berth. If Garrett isn't the answer, the Giants need to make to change there, too, looking for one last offenisve spark for Jones. Theres no Desmond Ridder on the Raiders roster. Assessing Browns' FA needs, Added an NFC exec: "He's smart as hell. The Raiders are a tempting landing spot for any free-agent quarterback this offseason. This is partly why an NFL coordinator said Murray will eventually be harder to stop than Lamar Jackson. The Jets were nothing short of fantastic on defense last year. Will Hernandez, a 2018second-roundguard,has underwhelmed on either side. NFL footage NFL Productions LLC. Alabama's Bryce Young is considered by many to be the top quarterback in this 2023 class, and former Minnesota Vikings general manager Rick Spielman compared him to the Super Bowl LVII MVP earlier this week on CBS Sports' new "With the First Pick" podcast. 24 among quarterbacks for 2022, according to spotrac.com. "I plan on doing everything," Richardson said. Spielman and host Ryan Wilson also handed out their comparisons for the other top quarterbacks in the class. There are still plenty of positions outside the quarterback position that need to be upgraded. Stat to know from ESPN Stats & Information: Jones did most of his damage against man coverage last season, throwing 20 of his 24 touchdowns in that situation. New England has two years of a cheap rookie contract to find out what that buzz means. 11 overall. The Titans know a thing or two about having a cast-off quarterback excel for their program. Minshew has an edge that nearly earned him a top-three spot. "But since he's so small, everybody's going to be nervous as heck to take him, because one, is he going to be durable enough to go through a preseason, go through 17 games, go through -- if they get all the way to the Super Bowl -- that many games and stay healthy? Alabama quarterback Bryce Young -- considered one of the top QB prospects in the 2023 NFL Draft -- downplayed questions about his size on Friday at the scouting combine. The New Orleans Saints have been one of Carr's most notable suitors since he was benched by the Raiders and left the team late in the 2022 campaign. The New York Giants are reportedly doing their due diligence on the quarterback class ahead of the 2023 NFL Draft. The team already came to terms with a new head coach in Frank Reich and just needs a viable piece under center to start contending as early as next season. "Giants can work with that.". The team also showed it can run the ball under head coach Josh McDaniels, whose system helped Josh Jacobs win the 2022 rushing crown. Using my arm, using my hips, using my feet, you know, just tying it all together and being consistent," Richardson said. There are only a few players who had produced better forecasts at the end of their first seasons, and well identify who those passers were in the next section. The non-exclusive franchise tag would allow the Giants to retain Jones for one year and a fully guaranteed $32.416 million. Carr would allow the team to balance out the offense more and unlock the talents of DJ Moore and Terrace Marshall Jr. Carr may not want to go to a rebuilding team at the age of 31, however, and Carolina still has a lot of improvements to make outside the QB position after selling off established talents like Christian McCaffrey and Robbie Anderson last season. balls last season 213 more than any other Women's Champ Week predictions: Which teams will win the auto bids in all 32 conferences? Its not necessarily one is getting tagged.. The Falcons run a similar scheme under Smith to the one Kyle Shanahan used during Garoppolo's tenure with the 49ers. With the Giants finally getting back to the playoffs for the first time since 2016 and winning a postseason matchup for the first time since their Super Bowl run in 2011, the team should want Jones back for a chance to build on that campaign. Beyond sorting through the quarterback conundrum, the Giants have needs to address at wide receiver, cornerback and the interior offensive line. Jones' 23 turnovers in 13 games -- including 11 lost fumbles -- overshadowed what many consider a polished skill set for such a young player. General manager Joe Schoen is doubling down at the cornerback position. 1-caliber WR, Picks for Saturday's top college basketball games, Ex-Patriots star McGinest facing 8 years in prison, Celtics booed off floor after blowing 28-point lead to Nets, LSU responds after Dunne promotes AI homework tool, Big 12 contacts four Pac-12 schools on potential move, NFL combine 2023 results tracker: Top performances. Geno Smith didn't pan out for the New York Jets the first time around, but he could be exactly what the franchise needs almost a decade later. Denver has two cautionary tales of how poor tackle play rattles a second-year quarterback: Mayfield and Sam Darnold. We have the data for each class going back to 2007, so we can calculate the same forecasts for all rookie quarterbacks in that 13-year window. "My target time is: Definitely fast," Richardson said. 1 passer. Here's who Spielman had: C.J. Although the Titans could opt to utilize a draft selection, their options could be limited when they get on the clock at No. Previously a college football reporter for CBSSports.com. Whether they get their potential franchise signal-caller this spring or if it takes a few more years to find one, Tennessee would be in good hands with Smith at the helm. All Rights Reserved. First-year general manager Ran Carthon said this week hes excited about moving forward with Tannehill, who has a $36.6 million cap charge in 2023. San Francisco 49ers defensive end Nick Bosa believes if he and his brother Joey Bosa teamed up one day it would "break the NFL.". At his end-of-season press conference in January, Giants general manager Joe Schoen all but admitted he would use the franchise tender on Jones if forced to choose. He'll have arguably better support on the ground than he did in 2022 too, evidenced by Carolina's impressive 130 rushing yards per game last year.
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